13/04/2014

All things considered Sunday April 13.

The fact that the indexes trends are down is shown below but not why it happens right now. I am not a fundamentalist but a technical analyst. However I follow what is going on in the world. Last week I wrote that there are no serious wars going on or being started. - During last week up until now several things has happened on the fundamental front that might or will influence the world stock market indexes.

The Ukrainian crisis is getting worse by the hour and as it looks to me now Europe might loose gas deliveries from Ukraine sooner than expected. Russia has halted gas delivery to Ukraine and wants payment in advance from now. Ukraine's economy is getting from bad to worse quickly and they refuse to pay Russia anything. Many European economies will be hit, especially Germany. IMF, US and EU will not give money to Ukraine. The important meeting April 17 between Russia, EU and US to solve the Ukrainian problem seems already to fail. This I think will get shareholders worried.

The "Heartbleed" bug is affecting more and more important internet security and it seems impossible to stop. A very serious problem.

Syria has got a gas attack which has started thoughts of US military involvement again.

These worries might taken together - in a market which have been sideways for months because of lacking positive or negative news and now is close to break on downside - be the drop that causes a break the coming week. GOLD and BONDS are rising already. Only very good forecasts during the ongoing first quarter results can eventually match the fundamental worries which most likely will get worse.


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